A new poll released Thursday by NBC/Marist shows Democratic candidate Tony Evers leading incumbent Governor Scott Walker by 10 points, just four weeks ahead of the November 6 election. The results vary sharply from a poll released earlier in the week by Marquette University Law School. That poll had the governor’s race in a statistical tie, although a Marquette poll two weeks earlier showed Evers leading Walker by 7 points.
The latest NBC/Marist poll shows Evers with 53 percent support among likely voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Walker gets 43 percent. Among the larger pool of registered voters in the state, Evers’ lead is 9 points, 52 percent to 43 percent — down from his 13-point lead in July’s NBC/Marist poll.
The NBC/Marist poll said the differences between its results and those of Marquette poll are attributed to these factors:
1. The polls use different samples: Marquette uses a voter list; Marist uses random digit dialing.
2. The polls use different likely-voter models: Marquette’s model is based exclusively on voters certain to vote; Marist’s uses a probability model based on interest, chance of vote and past vote.
3. Voter ID: Marquette’s sample among likely voters was R+3; Marist’s was D+1.
Whatever the polls show now, it is clear, said WEAC President Ron Martin, that getting out the vote will make the difference in the November 6 election.
“Wisconsin public school educators stand firmly with Dr. Evers, because he’s focused on the issues that matter – like schools and roads,” Martin said.
Read more about the NBC/Marist poll:
Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin is behind by double digits in his re-election bid, while Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin is comfortably ahead as a near majority of likely voters say they prefer Democrats to control Congress, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll of the state.
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) is trailing state schools superintendent Tony Evers by 10 points in his reelection bid, according to an NBC News/Marist poll released Thursday. Walker gets 43 percent of likely voters’ support in the survey, while 53 percent support Evers. Walker also has a significant deficit when comparing the two candidates’ favorability ratings.